We do need to examine if
our time scales of interest are not too long to be physically verifiable, particularly as establishing such long
half-life values itself seems so hard to accomplish. What makes this
possible is a simple trick called logarithms. Mathematically, for instance,
if N is the number of nuclides of a radioisotope at any time t, and N0
is its initial quantity, then
N = N0 exp (-T/t½)
where
t½
denotes the half-life.
Thus,
T =
t½ Ln (N/N0),
the age we need to estimate.
With
t½ = 1.25 billion
years for
the K40
- Ar40
decay series, the Table alongside thus shows that we can expect to find 0.056 nanogram of Ar40
for each gram of K40 one year after the onset of the process, or 0.28
nanogram of Ar40 for each gram of K40 five years after
the onset of the process and 0.555 nanogram of Ar40 for each gram of K40
ten years after
the onset of the process. With today’s highly accurate mass spectrometers,
these numbers are easy to establish and experimentally verifiable.